The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Der phänomenale internationale Bestseller, der uns zeigt, wie wir aufhören können, alles vorherzusagen – und die Unsicherheit ausnutzen können

Was haben die Erfindung des Rades, Pompeji, der Wall-Street-Crash, Harry Potter und das Internet gemeinsam? Warum sind alle Prognostiker Betrüger? Warum sollte man niemals zu einem Zug rennen oder eine Zeitung lesen? In diesem Buch dreht sich alles um Schwarze Schwäne: die zufälligen Ereignisse, die unserem Leben zugrunde liegen, von Bestsellern bis hin zu Weltkatastrophen. Ihre Wirkung ist enorm; sie sind unmöglich vorherzusagen; Doch nachdem sie geschehen sind, versuchen wir immer, sie zu rationalisieren.

Dimensions
19.8 x 13 cm
Pages
372
Publisher
Penguin books, New York, 2007.
 
Latin alphabet. Paperback.
Language: English.

No copies available

The last copy was sold recently.

 

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