The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
Maße
19,8 x 13 cm
Seitenzahl
372
Verlag
Penguin books, New York, 2007.
Latein Schrift. Taschenbuch.
Sprache: Englisch.
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