Social Science • Journalism

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

Maße

19,8 x 13 cm

Seitenzahl

372

Verlag

Penguin books, New York, 2007.

Latein Schrift. Taschenbuch.

Sprache: Englisch.

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